5
Volatile Spark
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 58
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength25%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 11.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |