6
Cardinal Union
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 66
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 18/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 08/02/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 10% | -0.72 |
| 01/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |