Spectacle
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 11 · OR 70
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Lone Star | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-01-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |