Adios Ashwood
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 4 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 24/04/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 07/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/06/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |