5
Born Flashy
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 92
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 42/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |