Brit's Wit
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 90
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |