12

Got Stripes

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 12 · OR 84

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#14

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 26/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS26/05C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 83 · 6f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/06/2025 · OR 83 parC9 @ Saratoga 26/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 80 par26/07C9OR 80C9 @ Saratoga 27/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 85 parC9 @ Fair Grounds 22/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 83 par22/11C9OR 83C9 @ Fair Grounds 14/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m110y Gd 121 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 86 parC9 @ Fair Grounds 25/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m Slo 125 · below its mark25/01/2026 · OR 79 par25/01C9OR 79C7 @ Fair Grounds 22/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 61 · 5f110y Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 61 par22/03C7OR 61projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-22Fair Grounds?7th6th+1
2026-01-25Fair Grounds?5th6th−1
2025-12-14Fair Grounds?8th9th−1
2025-11-22Fair Grounds?4th5th−1
2025-08-27Saratoga?9th10th−1
2025-07-26Saratoga?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0527/0825/0122/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20258th6/168%36%-0.32
20/06/20258th12/137%22%-0.15
26/07/20255th12/137%50%+0.13
27/08/20259th12/137%11%-0.26
22/11/20254th5/174%67%-0.07
14/12/20258th7/163%30%-0.33
25/01/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
22/03/20267th20/10%25%+0.25