14
Maki Monarchy
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 14 · OR 91
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Fair Grounds | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 48/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 08/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 07/09/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/12/2025 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 17% | -0.74 |