13

Master Munnings

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 13 · OR 82

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 01/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark01/11/2024 · OR 79 par1/11C8OR 79C8 @ Laurel Park 15/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 125 · below its mark15/12/2024 · OR 78 parC7 @ Penn National 26/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 1m70y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2025 · OR 82 par26/06C7OR 82C7 @ Delaware Park 09/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/07/2025 · OR 78 parC7 @ Penn National 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 65 par17/06C7OR 65C7 @ Penn National 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Penn National 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 67 par23/07C8OR 67C7 @ Penn National 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 1m70y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 80 parC5 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 82 · 1m4f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 82 par6/09C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Kentucky Downs?10th7th+3
2026-08-19Penn National?1st0th+1
2026-07-23Penn National?3rd3rd0
2026-07-01Penn National?4th3rd+1
2026-06-17Penn National?5th4th+1
2025-07-09Delaware Park?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/119/0723/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 54/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/202410th6/168%18%-0.50
15/12/20244th10/382%40%-0.42
26/06/20252nd11/271%86%+0.15
09/07/20257th15/890%0%-0.90
17/06/20265th4/179%56%-0.23
01/07/20264th11/486%50%-0.36
23/07/20263rd1/195%71%-0.23
19/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
06/09/202610th40/10%10%+0.10