Missionary Man
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 84
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2024-10-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 27/08/2024 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 23/09/2024 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 13% | -0.73 |
| 16/10/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 20/05/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |