Monumentaljustice
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 92
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |