Summer Lover
7yo Horse · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 97
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Lone Star | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 17/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |