9
Woodcock Flight
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 91
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 73/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 15/02/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/03/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 14/07/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |