1
Foxy Justice
4yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 30/09/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 30% | -0.36 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |