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8

Sweet Summertime

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 8 · OR 78

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 46 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 46 par9/10C6OR 46C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 60 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 60 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 64 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 64 par12/11C6OR 64C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 71 · 6f Slo 121 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 71 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 67 · 1m 121 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 67 par26/05C6OR 67C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 67 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 67 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 11811/07C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m70y 11811/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-05-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/105/0511/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 85/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20252nd9/153%88%+0.35
30/10/20252nd11/486%88%+0.02
12/11/20252nd2/189%89%-0.01
05/05/20262nd15/890%86%-0.04
26/05/20262nd1/297%86%-0.12
11/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
11/07/20265th33/10%56%+0.56
22/08/20265th8/158%64%+0.06
11/09/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35