IvyArcIvyArc
2

Tap Bonnet

4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 74

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m 119 · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 77 par15/10C5OR 77C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m70y Fas 119 · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 75 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 76 · 1m110y 119 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 76 par13/11C8OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 73 par28/05C5OR 73C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 66 · 6f Slo 122 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 66 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 67 par16/07C5OR 67C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m110y Slo 122 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 70 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 73 par23/09C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-06-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th7th−3
2026-05-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-05-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/107/0516/0723/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20254th9/276%57%-0.19
23/10/20252nd6/594%83%-0.10
13/11/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
07/05/20267th6/168%0%-0.68
28/05/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
25/06/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
16/07/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
20/08/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
23/09/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01