IvyArcIvyArc
9

Troglodyte

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 9 · OR 68

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 1213/06C6C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 118 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 87 par10/07C5OR 87C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 82 · 5f110y 118 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 82 par29/07C5OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m110y Slo 118 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 79 par20/08C5OR 79C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 76 · 6f 118 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 76 par16/09C5OR 76projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0610/0729/0720/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 75/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -17.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
10/07/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
29/07/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
20/08/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
16/09/20264th7/491%40%-0.51