6

Bon Temps

4yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 81

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 16/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f110y 122 · below its mark16/11/2025 · OR 75 par16/11C9OR 75C6 @ Oaklawn Park 26/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 68 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark26/12/2025 · OR 68 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 15/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 1m110y Slo 124 · beat its mark15/02/2026 · OR 68 par15/02C6OR 68C6 @ Oaklawn Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 77 · 1m Slo 124 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 77 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 81 par3/04C6OR 81C9 @ Churchill Downs 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m Fas 125 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 77 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 73 par7/07C9OR 73C8 @ Ellis Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m 123 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 77 par15/09C8OR 77projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st4th−3
2026-08-07Ellis Park?2nd5th−3
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st5th−4
2026-06-04Churchill Downs?7th11th−4
2026-04-03Oaklawn Park?4th5th−1
2026-03-08Oaklawn Park?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/118/037/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 39/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20259th16/116%0%-0.16
26/12/20253rd33/10%67%+0.67
15/02/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
08/03/20263rd7/491%50%-0.41
03/04/20264th2/189%57%-0.32
04/06/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
07/07/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
07/08/20262nd1/195%80%-0.15
15/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18