8
Breakaway
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 8 · OR 100
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +19.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |