3
Clear The Beach
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 98
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-22 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-01 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -17.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |