7

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5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-04-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-02-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2024-12-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2024 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 12/09/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 29/10/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 13/12/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |