13
Mi Compadre
4yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 13 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 13th | −4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 22/05/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/06/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 22/10/2025 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 27% | -0.62 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |