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13

Ap Valiant Princess

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 13 · OR 58

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 30y

#11

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength9%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1f130y Fas 12426/06C?C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1f80y 124C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 52 · 1f130y 124 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 52 par13/11C8OR 52C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 48 · 1f80y Fas 126 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 48 parBHA57 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 57 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 par11/0557OR 57C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 59 · 1f180y Fas 126 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA60 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 60 · 1f180y 126 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 60 par30/0660OR 60BHA60 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 1f180y 126 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 60 par14/0960OR 60projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA605th6th−1
2026-06-30Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA607th8th−1
2026-06-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th9th−3
2026-05-11Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA574th5th−1
2026-04-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th11th−3
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/068/0430/0614/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength27%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/202510th25/10%0%0.00
15/07/20255th16/116%50%+0.34
13/11/20253rd20/10%78%+0.78
08/04/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
11/05/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
09/06/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
30/06/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
14/09/20265th33/10%43%+0.43