3
Candied Egg
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 69
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 30y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Sunland Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Sunland Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 10-13 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -22.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/04/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |