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6

Jess Knew

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 6 · OR 63

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 30y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 73 · 1f130y Gd 126 · beat its mark06/11/2024 · OR 73 par6/11C5OR 73C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 72 · 1f110y Gd 128 · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 72 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 71 · 1f130y Slo 128 · below its mark20/05/2025 · OR 71 par20/05C5OR 71C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 61 · 1f30y 128 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 61 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 64 · 1f130y Gd 128 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 64 par12/11C5OR 64C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 65 · 1f110y Fas 128 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 65 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 72 · 1f130y 128 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 72 par11/06C5OR 72C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 71 · 1f80y 128 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 66 · 1f130y 128 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 66 par1/09C5OR 66projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-04-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2025-11-12Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2025-10-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/116/1011/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 56/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/11/20247th10/147%33%-0.14
03/05/20254th8/158%0%-0.58
20/05/20258th7/163%13%-0.51
06/10/20256th33/10%44%+0.44
12/11/20252nd25/10%89%+0.89
22/04/20264th6/168%57%-0.11
11/06/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24
16/07/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
01/09/20268th16/116%0%-0.16