Mckenzie Foose

4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5 · OR 61

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 30y

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ AHEAD OF MARK

Move▲1

Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA48

Recent avg: C6.4

Today:

Class gap: -1.4

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-10	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	6th	10th	−3	1.0
2026-05-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	BHA48	8th	8th	+0	2.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength79%

Delivery trend +41.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
11/05/2026	8th	14/1	26%	22%	-0.04
10/07/2026	6th	25/1	0%	38%	+0.38