2

Three Eyed Candy

3yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 82

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 30y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

84%

Place Prob

58%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1f80y Fas 1244/06C8C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 73 · 1f180y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 73 par18/06C5OR 73C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 1f110y 126 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 79 par8/07C8OR 79C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 81 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 81 par1/09C5OR 81C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 82 · 1f80y 126 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 82 par10/09C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st5th−3
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd6th−3
2026-06-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th3rd+1
2025-06-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th14th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0618/068/071/0910/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 57/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/202510th7/163%0%-0.63
18/06/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
08/07/20262nd4/596%89%-0.07
01/09/20262nd6/492%86%-0.06
10/09/20261st5/493%100%+0.07