IvyArcIvyArc
7

Vikina

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 67

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 30y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength16%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 44 · 1f30y Fas 124 · beat its mark27/05/2025 · OR 44 par27/05C8OR 44BHA57 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 57 · 1f130y Fas 124 · beat its mark26/06/2025 · OR 57 par26/0657OR 57C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 69 · 1f180y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 69 par25/10C5OR 69C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 1f110y 126 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 69 par13/05C5OR 69BHA71 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 71 · 1f180y 126 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 71 par14/0971OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA714th7th−2
2026-05-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2025-10-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1
2025-06-26Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA573rd4th−1
2025-05-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0526/0625/1013/0514/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
26/06/20253rd9/276%75%-0.01
25/10/20252nd15/261%89%+0.28
13/05/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
14/09/20264th9/153%57%+0.05