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Cinnodin

6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 100

Huntingdon · Agri Day At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle · 3m 1f 10y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

83%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly-useful Flat performer who opened his account in this sphere at Uttoxeter (23f) in May and backed that up when a good second there 3 weeks later. Poor efforts next 2 outings but took a clear step back in the right direction at aforementioned track latest and looks of interest again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 22/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 74 · 2m2f2y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/06/2025 · OR 74 par22/064OR 744 @ Fontwell 07/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f29y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newton Abbot 19/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m5f122y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS19/0944 @ Southwell 02/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m4f88y Gd 156 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Exeter 21/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 100 · 2m7f25y GF 168 · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 100 par21/105OR 1005 @ Uttoxeter 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 96 · 2m7f70y Gd 164 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 96 par5 @ Uttoxeter 24/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 102 · 2m7f70y Gd 168 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 102 par24/055OR 1025 @ Worcester 19/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 104 · 2m7f Gd 168 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 104 par4 @ Uttoxeter 15/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 102 · 2m7f70y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 102 par15/094OR 102projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Uttoxeter44th3rd+1
2026-08-19Worcester510th10th0
2026-06-23Newton Abbot4+1
2026-05-24Uttoxeter52nd2nd0
2026-05-02Uttoxeter51st1st0
2025-10-21Exeter55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/062/1024/0515/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 70/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/20255th11/271%0%-0.71
07/09/20256th9/488%29%-0.60
19/09/20253rd22/10%60%+0.60
02/10/20252nd4/179%75%-0.04
21/10/20255th13/266%33%-0.32
02/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
24/05/20262nd5/287%75%-0.12
19/08/202610th14/126%36%+0.09
15/09/20264th7/163%57%-0.06