5
Indian Sunbird
9yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 90
Huntingdon · Agri Day At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle · 3m 1f 10y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Market Rasen | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Huntingdon | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Huntingdon | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 70/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength95%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 11/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |