3
Maggies Boy
7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 95
Huntingdon · Agri Day At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle · 3m 1f 10y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Sedgefield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Perth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Southwell | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-24 | Kelso | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-02 | Hexham | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 03/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 22/06/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |