4

The Wise Traveller

10yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 93

Huntingdon · Agri Day At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle · 3m 1f 10y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Recorded his sixth career success and a fourth over this C&D in small-field handicap in May. Capable fresh and is only 2 lb higher on this return to action.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Huntingdon 11/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 93 · 3m1f10y Gd 161 · beat its mark11/04/2025 · OR 93 par11/045OR 935 @ Huntingdon 19/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 97 · 3m1f10y Gd 168 · below its mark19/04/2025 · OR 97 par5 @ Plumpton 21/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 97 · 3m217y Goo 165 · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 97 par21/095OR 975 @ Huntingdon 07/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 99 · 3m1f10y Goo 167 · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 99 par5 @ Huntingdon 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 99 · 3m1f10y Gd 167 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 99 par2/115OR 995 @ Huntingdon 22/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 98 · 3m1f10y GS 166 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 98 par5 @ Catterick 01/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 96 · 3m1f71y Gd 165 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 96 par1/015OR 964 @ Fakenham 13/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 94 · 2m7f95y Gd 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/04/2026 · OR 94 par4 @ Huntingdon 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 91 · 3m1f10y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 91 par25/054OR 91projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-25Huntingdon41st0th+1
2026-04-13Fakenham45th4th+1
2026-04-06Plumpton50
2026-01-01Catterick57th7th0
2025-11-22Huntingdon57th7th0
2025-11-02Huntingdon57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/047/101/0125/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
19/04/20255th4/179%50%-0.29
21/09/20251st25/10%100%+1.00
07/10/20254th4/179%57%-0.22
02/11/20257th14/126%60%+0.34
22/11/20257th17/255%14%-0.41
01/01/20267th14/126%50%+0.24
13/04/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
25/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14