Carrigmoorna Rowan
9yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 97
Huntingdon · Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 129y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Fontwell | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Exeter | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Bangor-on-Dee | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Wincanton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-20 | Leicester | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Haydock | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 24/04/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 03/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 20/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 25/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 18/5 | 81% | 56% | -0.25 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |