Midnight View
6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 94
Huntingdon · Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 129y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Warwick | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Ludlow | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Warwick | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Taunton | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Windsor | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Ludlow | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/02/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/03/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |