5

Royal Time

7yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 93

Huntingdon · Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 129y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mixed record in Ireland for Shane Crawley but made an encouraging start for this yard when third at Bangor (3m) last month. Went the wrong way from that turned out quickly at Newton Abbot, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength14%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.6
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 12/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 94 · 2m1f140y Gd 160 · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 94 par12/10C8OR 94BHA94 @ Clonmel 06/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 94 · 2m1f50y Sft 162 · below its mark06/11/2025 · OR 94 parBHA94 @ Thurles 20/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 94 · 1m7f169y Yie 162 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 94 par20/1194OR 94BHA92 @ Down Royal 26/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 92 · 2m4f130y Goo 160 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 92 parBHA91 @ Down Royal 20/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 91 · 2m4f145y Yie 159 · below its mark20/01/2026 · OR 91 par20/0191OR 91BHA93 @ Thurles 05/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 93 · 2m5f110y Sft 149 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 93 parBHA91 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 91 · 2m6f160y Gd 159 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 91 par21/0591OR 914 @ Bangor-on-Dee 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 94 · 3m30y Gd 152 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 94 par5 @ Newton Abbot 18/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 94 · 3m1f170y Gd 162 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 94 par18/095OR 94projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Newton Abbot55th5th0
2026-09-04Bangor-on-Dee43rd2nd+1
2026-05-21LimerickBHA914th9th−4
2026-04-12Down RoyalBHA92−4
2026-03-05ThurlesBHA937th12th−4
2026-01-20Down RoyalBHA913rd8th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1026/1221/0518/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength47%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/20253rd10/147%33%-0.14
06/11/202514th40/10%13%+0.13
20/11/202511th33/10%38%+0.38
26/12/20255th15/261%71%+0.11
20/01/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
05/03/20267th10/147%57%+0.10
21/05/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
04/09/20263rd18/15%67%+0.61
18/09/20265th5/174%33%-0.40