1

Dancing Dame

7yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 105

Huntingdon · Book 2026/27 Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 137y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form in bumpers and over hurdles in Ireland for Timothy Doyle. Found only one too good starting out for James Owen at Fakenham in May and should bounce back from a lesser effort at Newton Abbot the following month. Upped in trip and fitted with a first-time hood.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 27/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m Sft 16527/09C?C0 @ Wexford 27/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m Yie 1651 @ Navan 17/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m Yie 161 · HIGHER CLASS17/111C0 @ Clonmel 15/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m159y Goo 161C8 @ Gowran Park 08/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR - · 2m20y Hvy 1598/11C8C8 @ Thurles 27/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 2m11y Goo 153C8 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR - · 2m Sft 16115/12C84 @ Fakenham 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 111 · 2m3y Goo 158 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 111 par4 @ Newton Abbot 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 108 · 2m167y Goo 154 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 108 par12/064OR 108projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Newton Abbot45th5th0
2026-05-31Fakenham42nd2nd0
2025-12-15Naas?6th11th−4
2025-11-27Thurles?8th13th−4
2025-11-08Gowran Park?12th17th−4
2025-10-16Thurles?−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0915/0515/1212/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 70/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength96%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20244th10/147%73%+0.25
27/10/20242nd9/276%83%+0.07
17/11/20247th28/10%0%0.00
15/05/20256th10/382%38%-0.45
08/11/202512th250/10%42%+0.42
27/11/20258th66/10%53%+0.53
15/12/20256th200/10%72%+0.72
31/05/20262nd5/696%75%-0.21
12/06/20265th1/195%50%-0.45