IvyArcIvyArc
5

Esther Spring

4yo Filly · 11-2

Huntingdon · Book 2026/27 Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 137y

#3

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★ Timeform

Commentary

Unplaced in bumpers and well held on recent Warwick hurdling debut (2m). Most likely one for the longer term.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 14/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m Goo 14714/0345 @ Southwell 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f182y Gd 15011/0555 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m Gd 14623/0854 @ Warwick 22/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 2m Goo 14522/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Warwick43rd3rd0
2026-08-23Worcester57th8th−1
2026-05-11Southwell56th7th−1
2026-03-14Kempton48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0311/0523/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 3-4 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20268th125/10%22%+0.22
11/05/20266th150/10%44%+0.44
23/08/20267th80/10%33%+0.33
22/09/20263rd125/10%33%+0.33