Inca
8yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 70
Huntingdon · 2026/2027 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 137y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Worcester | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Hereford | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Market Rasen | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2024-05-27 | Huntingdon | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/05/2024 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |