6

Saucats

5yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 79

Huntingdon · 2026/2027 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 137y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform
7lbs

Commentary

Returned to form to win from 4 lb out of the weights in 5-runner selling handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (17f, good) last week, driven clear. Has more on his plate under a 7-lb penalty on first run for yard after leaving Joe Tickle.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Uttoxeter 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 77 · 2m3f207y Gd 149 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 77 par13/065OR 775 @ Newton Abbot 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 76 · 2m2f110y Goo 147 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Newton Abbot 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 76 · 2m2f110y Goo 142 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 76 par3/075OR 765 @ Newton Abbot 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 82 · 2m2f110y Goo 155 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 82 par5 @ Newton Abbot 19/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 82 · 2m2f110y Goo 153 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 82 par19/075OR 825 @ Newton Abbot 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 82 · 2m2f110y Goo 152 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 82 par5 @ Stratford 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 81 · 2m70y Goo 152 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 81 par5/095OR 815 @ Newton Abbot 18/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 80 · 2m167y Gd 143 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 80 par5 @ Newton Abbot 28/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 79 · 2m167y Goo 142 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 79 par28/095OR 79projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Newton Abbot51st1st0
2026-09-18Newton Abbot57th7th0
2026-09-05Stratford53rd3rd0
2026-08-22Newton Abbot57th7th0
2026-07-19Newton Abbot53rd3rd0
2026-07-13Newton Abbot52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0613/075/0928/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength65%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20265th6/168%64%-0.05
23/06/20265th9/153%56%+0.03
03/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
13/07/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
19/07/20263rd10/382%71%-0.11
22/08/20267th7/163%33%-0.30
05/09/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
18/09/20267th8/158%40%-0.18
28/09/20261st10/382%100%+0.18