Mavis Pike
7yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 102
Huntingdon · Host Your Conference At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 189y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | Warwick | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-29 | Fakenham | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-05 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-02-17 | Carlisle | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-01-19 | Fakenham | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 07/03/2024 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 10/10/2024 | 5th | 85/40 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 30/10/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/11/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 15/12/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/01/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 17/02/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |