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6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 102
Huntingdon · Host Your Conference At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 189y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Fontwell | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-01 | Ascot | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-21 | Exeter | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Market Rasen | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 16/10/2024 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 21/04/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |