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Albeseeingyer

7yo Mare · 10-0 · Draw 10 · OR 65

Leicester · Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner but not scored since 2024 and needs to bounce back from below-par run at Carlisle (7f, good to soft) 27 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 26/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 74 · 6f212y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 74 par26/093OR 744 @ Doncaster 25/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 72 · 7f6y Hvy 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 70 · 7f6y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 70 par29/034OR 705 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 7f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 69 · 7f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 69 par9/055OR 695 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 68 · 7f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Carlisle 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 67 · 6f195y Goo 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 67 par15/065OR 675 @ Newmarket 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 66 · 7f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Carlisle 09/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 66 · 6f195y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 66 par9/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Carlisle59th8th+1
2026-08-07Newmarket53rd2nd+1
2026-06-15Carlisle53rd2nd+1
2026-06-04Wetherby56th5th+1
2026-05-09Leicester55th4th+1
2026-04-13Leicester52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0913/0415/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/202510th12/137%10%-0.27
25/10/20258th25/10%50%+0.50
29/03/202610th16/116%36%+0.20
13/04/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04
09/05/20265th11/271%50%-0.21
04/06/20266th11/142%44%+0.02
15/06/20263rd10/382%78%-0.05
07/08/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
09/09/20269th12/137%11%-0.26