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Dashing Dick

8yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 1 · OR 65

Leicester · Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

63%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Yet to score this year but has dropped to a handy mark and arrives on the back of respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at Yarmouth (1m, good) 19 days ago. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength88%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 78 par25/044OR 784 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 75 par2/064OR 754 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 73 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 73 par4/074OR 734 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 6f GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Newmarket 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m GF 139 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 70 par6/085OR 704 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 68 · 7f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Yarmouth 17/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 67 · 1m3y Gd 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 67 par17/095OR 67projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Yarmouth55th4th+1
2026-08-20Newmarket44th2nd+2
2026-08-06Newmarket56th5th+1
2026-07-18Newmarket45th3rd+2
2026-07-04Newmarket46th4th+2
2026-06-19Newmarket43rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0419/066/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
16/05/20268th18/15%22%+0.17
02/06/20268th28/10%13%+0.13
19/06/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
04/07/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
18/07/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
06/08/20266th8/158%17%-0.41
20/08/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
17/09/20265th5/174%69%-0.04