
Eyes Front
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 9 · OR 64
Leicester · Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Kempton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |