Folkene
4yo Filly · 10-0 · Draw 4 · OR 65
Leicester · Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Beverley | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 22/09/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |