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10

Shark Two One

8yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 49

Leicester · Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Goes well at this venue and was returning from 12 weeks off when taking 14-runner handicap (11/1) over C&D (good to firm) 15 days ago by neck from Sir David. Just 3 lb higher now and ought to go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Carlisle 05/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 52 · 7f173y Sft 147 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 52 par5/076OR 526 @ Leicester 10/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 52 · 7f Goo 127 · beat its mark10/08/2025 · OR 52 par6 @ Chepstow 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 52 · 7f16y Goo 132 · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 52 par25/086OR 526 @ Nottingham 08/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 52 · 6f18y GS 132 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 52 par6 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 50 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 50 par25/046OR 506 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 49 · 7f6y GS 129 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 47 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 47 par8/066OR 476 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 46 · 1m6y Goo 131 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Leicester 21/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 45 · 7f Goo 124 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 45 par21/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Leicester61st1st0
2026-06-29Pontefract66th6th0
2026-06-08Leicester63rd3rd0
2026-05-16Doncaster611th11th0
2026-04-25Leicester65th5th0
2025-10-08Nottingham67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/078/108/0621/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20253rd7/163%75%+0.12
10/08/20253rd13/266%75%+0.09
25/08/20253rd2/189%75%-0.14
08/10/20257th4/179%50%-0.29
25/04/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
16/05/202611th9/153%17%-0.36
08/06/20263rd5/174%83%+0.10
29/06/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
21/09/20261st11/142%100%+0.58