2
Cracking Toast
2yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 4
Leicester · Alan & Sarah Laughterloft Legends Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
500/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Ripon | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/09/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |