3

Paphos

2yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 1

Leicester · Alan & Sarah Laughterloft Legends Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€60,000 breeze-up purchase who has shown plenty of speed in 5f Musselburgh maiden and Redcar novice (not given a hard time). Can do better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 13324/0844 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 13215/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar43rd3rd0
2026-08-24Musselburgh45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +39.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20265th11/271%43%-0.28
15/09/20263rd15/261%71%+0.11