Dissenter
2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 12 · OR 65
Leicester · Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Newbury | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bath | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |