11
Dream On Kent
2yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 3 · OR 57
Leicester · Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength77%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 3 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chepstow | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 35/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |